ODDSPIRA TOOL

Free Poisson Football Score Calculator

Use expected-goal inputs for both teams to build a simple match probability model.

How to use this calculator

  1. Enter home expected goals.
  2. Enter away expected goals.
  3. Compare model probabilities and fair odds with market prices.
Worked example: Home xG 1.65 and away xG 1.05 create a full score grid and probabilities for common football markets.

Frequently asked questions

Does this calculator guarantee profit?

No. It only calculates the entered assumptions.

Can I use it for real bets?

Use it as an analytical aid and verify every input and market rule.